Jim Rogers Interview With Grace Cheng; Pound Will Disappear Sooner

January 16, 2009

Interviews

Grace Cheng of dailymarkets.com/ recently had the privilege of interviewing Jim Rogers by phone. Grace was kind enough to make the interview public. One scary thought was his thoughts on the U.S Dollar in which Jim states the Pound will “More doomed. It will disappear sooner.”

Grace Cheng: Do you think the period of forced liquidation has ended or does it still have a ways to go?

Rogers: I’m sure it has not ended. It certainly has not ended for many asset classes and it probably has not ended for most. It may be over for a few things but it still has a long way to go.

As you’ve said many times, the US government is printing a lot of money right now, when do you think inflation will come around and bite us?

Rogers: Well there is inflation now in many things. There’s temporary deflation in raw material prices and in some property. But throughout history, whenever you’ve had gigantic printing of money and spending of borrowed money, it has always led to higher prices. Unless something is dramatic, it’s going to happen again. When I don’t know. It’s already happening in some things. I don’t know if you’ve bought any sugar recently or some other things, prices are up and that will continue and it will get worse.

You’ve been bullish on commodities for a long time, recently you said you’re buying the Rogers Metal Index. Do you think that the Obama stimulus plan will create more demand for commodities?

Rogers: Well of course, anything that causes a revival of economic activity causes a revival of demand for everything including commodities. I mean if you’re gonna build bridges you’ve got to build them out of something you cannot build virtual bridges you have to build real bridges, etc.

You’ve said that over the long term, the US dollar is doomed. What are your thoughts on the British Pound?

Rogers: More doomed. It will disappear sooner. If it weren’t for the North Sea, the British Pound would have already disappeared. It’s more doomed. The UK has been exporting oil for 26 years; within the decade, the UK will be a net importer of oil again, and they have nothing else to sell to the world once the oil dries up.

Do you think China will scale back on buying US bonds? And if that happens, how will it affect the US economy and the US dollar?

Rogers: Well if I were China, I would scale back. If I were everybody, I would scale back. The US bonds yield virtually nothing, the dollar is a flawed currency, inflation is coming, higher interest rates are coming. I would think everybody would be scaling back including China. We’re going to have higher interest rates down the road because somebody’s gonna scale back. If not China, Japan or Korea, or who knows, somebody.

You’ve been buying Chinese stocks for many years already, now that China’s economy is doing badly and exports are decreasing significantly, what sectors are you looking at in China?

Rogers: Agriculture, water treatment, people who build power generation, people who build infrastructure, tourism. Many areas of the Chinese economy will continue to do well no matter what happens to the world economy. Many will suffer; anybody who sells to Wal-mart (WMT: 51.35 -0.21 -0.41%) or retailers in America is going to suffer, others will do extremely well no matter what.

My last question, on a personal note, do you miss traveling around the world for fun like you’ve done several times before?

Rogers: No, because now I have two little girls and they’re more fun than anything. I hope someday that I will travel around the world with them for fun. But at the moment, watching them grow up and helping them grow up is more fun than anything I can imagine.

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9 Responses to “Jim Rogers Interview With Grace Cheng; Pound Will Disappear Sooner”

  1. gir Says:

    “More doomed. It will disappear sooner” – this was for British Pound

  2. Admin Says:

    Oooops misread it. I apologize

  3. Admin Says:

    Thanks. …

  4. Mike Says:

    When is someone intelligent going to interview our man? He keeps giving the canned answers and no one pursues anything the least bit creative or more in-depth. This lady, who I have read on seekingalpha, is awful in my opinion. “The pound is doomed” is a pretty provocative statement. Well, how will that happen? Does anyone in our generation have an understanding of what this means?

  5. Admin Says:

    The folks at CNBC tried to get into details as to which U.S. stocks Jim was buying but he didn’t budge (sp?).

  6. Mike Says:

    He’s not buying US stocks. The bear market for US stocks is not over. That’s not to say we won’t get a nice rally from 750 back up to 1050-1100. I will definitely be shorting that rally…

  7. James Bower Says:

    Great blog, reading it through RSS feed as well

  8. Fuzu Says:

    Ooh oops i just typed a long comment and when i hit reply it came up blank! Please tell me it worked properly? I dont want to write it again if i dont have to! Either the blog bugged out or i am just stuipd, the latter doesnt surprise me lol.

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